ABSTRACT
COVID-19 patients are oftentimes over- or under-treated due to a deficit in predictive management tools. This study reports derivation of an algorithm that integrates the host levels of TRAIL, IP-10, and CRP into a single numeric score that is an early indicator of severe outcome for COVID-19 patients and can identify patients at-risk to deteriorate. 394 COVID-19 patients were eligible; 29% meeting a severe outcome (intensive care unit admission/non-invasive or invasive ventilation/death). The score's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.86, superior to IL-6 (AUC 0.77; p = 0.033) and CRP (AUC 0.78; p < 0.001). Likelihood of severe outcome increased significantly (p < 0.001) with higher scores. The score differentiated severe patients who further deteriorated from those who improved (p = 0.004) and projected 14-day survival probabilities (p < 0.001). The score accurately predicted COVID-19 patients at-risk for severe outcome, and therefore has potential to facilitate timely care escalation and de-escalation and appropriate resource allocation.
ABSTRACT
PROBLEM: The COVID-19 pandemic has many clinical manifestations. Rapid vaccine development raised concerns and speculations about future fertility outcomes and vaccine safety. We evaluated the effect of Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine on IVF treatment, oocyte and embryo quality, and pregnancy outcomes. METHOD OF STUDY: This prospective, observational cohort study was conducted in a referral IVF Unit, 3/2021-5/2021. We aimed to recruit all women undergoing IVF/ICSI cycles from 3/1-4/30/2021, 2-8 weeks after the second vaccination, and to analyze 50-60 samples in the 2-month period. Patients were categorized according to serum antibody levels: positive for spike (S), positive for nucleotide (N), or negative for both. On the day of ovum pick-up, follicular fluid and blood samples were analyzed for anti-nucleotide (anti-N) antibodies, and anti-spike (anti-S) antibodies, hormonal profile, C-reactive protein (CRP) and other metabolic parameters. RESULTS: Of 59 women enrolled, 37 reported being vaccinated and 22 were not. We found 97% correlation between anti-S and anti-N in the blood and the follicular fluid. Follicular fluid was analyzed based on antibody categorization. All IVF treatment parameters in the follicular fluids and serum were comparable, except CRP was significantly elevated among patients with anti-N antibodies (2.29 [1.42-6.08] vs. 4.11 [1.62-5.75] vs. 1.44 [.36-8.33]; p < .001). Pregnancy outcomes were comparable (44% vs. 33% vs. 50%; p = .97). CONCLUSION: mRNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine did not appear to affect treatment outcomes or ovarian reserves in the subsequent IVF cycle.